Empiriceme · Precept · Heuristic / Razor

Argument from Silence

Also called Argumentum ex silentio; the dog that didn't bark

Inferring from the absence of a record that the thing did not occur, which holds only where a record would be expected.

No mention of a common practice in surviving records is weak evidence when the records are administrative rather than descriptive. Sherlock Holmes's dog that did not bark is the valid form: a guard dog's silence is evidence because barking was expected.

In practice

  • No minutes record the decision, but the meeting had no secretary and never produced minutes for anything.
  • A candidate's CV omits a two-year gap in a format that lists only years, so the omission carries no information at all.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Decision-making & Reasoning
Essay
Razors, rules and the tools of careful thought

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