Empiriceme · Figure · Paradox

Berkson's Paradox

Selection bias in observational studies can create spurious negative correlations between variables.

If a hospital admits people for either of two unrelated conditions, the two conditions will appear negatively correlated among inpatients. It is a standing hazard in any study drawn from a selected population.

In practice

  • Among people already in hospital, smokers appear to have fewer of a second condition — because you need to be sicker in other ways to be admitted as a non-smoker.
  • A firm finds its most technically able hires are its worst communicators, because it hired anyone strong on either.
Standing
The birth-weight paradox and the obesity paradox are the best known medical cases.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Science & Epistemology
Essay
Paradoxes in the data, and sayings about knowing

Search every entry·Every entry, A to Z