Empiriceme · Figure · Paradox

Berra's Congestion Paradox

Also called Nobody goes there anymore, it's too crowded

A place that becomes popular ceases to offer what made it popular, so its success destroys the thing being sought.

The apparent contradiction dissolves once the two groups are separated: the people who valued it when it was quiet no longer go, and the crowd consists of people who came for its reputation. It is a congestion externality stated as a joke, and it describes restaurants, beaches, neighbourhoods and investment strategies equally well.

In practice

  • A fund that publishes its edge finds the edge gone, and the inflow is what removed it.
  • A quiet beach recommended in a newspaper is not the beach that was recommended.
Standing
The attribution to Berra is traditional and poorly documented, as with most remarks assigned to him.
Subject
Economics & Incentives
Essay
Rules for choosing, and the paradoxes that humbled the theory

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