Empiriceme · Model · Theory / Model

Crime Attractors

Also called Attractors of offenders

Places acquire reputations among offenders for reliable opportunities, and then draw offenders who travel to them deliberately.

An attractor differs from a generator in the direction of the causation: the offender comes because of what is known to be available, rather than happening to be among a crowd. The Brantinghams' point is that the same high-crime count can arise from either, and treating the wrong one wastes the intervention.

In practice

  • A car park with a known weakness fills with offenders from other districts, and lighting the crowd does nothing.
  • A market known for handling stolen goods draws sellers who pass several closer markets to reach it.
Possible explanations
The explanation is reputation among offenders: a place known to offer reliable opportunity draws people who travel to it, which is a different process from a crowd generating opportunity incidentally.
In its favour
The distinction is useful for policing, since an attractor responds to changing what is available there while a generator responds to managing the flow of people, and journey-to-crime data support the idea that some offenders travel deliberately.
Against it
Telling an attractor from a generator in a given case is difficult, since both produce high counts, and the classification is usually made after the fact from the pattern it is meant to explain.
Standing
Distinguishing an attractor from a generator in a given case is difficult, since both produce high counts, and the classification usually rests on inference about offender intent.
Subject
Law & Politics
Essay
Competing accounts of how power works

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