Empiriceme · Evidence · Empirical Regularity

Deming's 85/15 Rule

Also called 94/6 rule

Most performance problems are produced by the system rather than by the people in it, so blaming individuals leaves the cause untouched.

Deming's red bead experiment made the point unanswerable: workers were rated, ranked and fired over variation produced entirely by the beads in the box. He later revised the ratio to 94/6.

In practice

  • A warehouse with a persistent picking error rate replaces the two worst pickers and the rate is unchanged, because the labels are ambiguous.
  • A school with poor results in one subject changes the teacher three times before anyone examines the timetable slot.
Standing
Deming later revised the ratio upward; the point is the ordering, not the number.
Subject
Organizations & Bureaucracy
Essay
How organisations behave when nobody is steering

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