Empiriceme · Figure · Paradox

Easterlin Paradox

Richer people within a country report more happiness, yet rising national income does not raise average happiness over time.

Easterlin's 1974 finding. The within-country gradient is not disputed; the long-run time series is, with Stevenson and Wolfers arguing the paradox dissolves in better data.

In practice

  • A team receiving a large pay rise reports high satisfaction for about four months, and then reports what it reported before.
  • A country's average reported wellbeing is flat across thirty years of doubled GDP, while within any given year the richer report higher.
Possible explanations
One explanation is adaptation, since people adjust to a new income and return to their previous level of satisfaction. Another is relative position, in which what matters is income compared with others rather than its absolute level.
In its favour
The within-country gradient and the adaptation effect are both well documented, and several long national series do show flat average happiness alongside decades of growth.
Against it
Stevenson and Wolfers find a positive long-run relationship in wider and better data, and bounded survey scales may hide growth at the top, so the paradox may be an artefact of measurement.
Standing
Long-run data are contested; the within-country gradient is not.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Economics & Incentives
Essay
Rules for choosing, and the paradoxes that humbled the theory

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