Empiriceme · Evidence · Bias / Effect

False Consensus Effect

People overestimate how widely their own views and habits are shared.

Ross, Greene and House's 1977 study: students asked to wear a sandwich board estimated that most others would make the same choice they had, whichever choice that was.

In practice

  • A hiring panel that all found the interview process reasonable concludes candidates find it reasonable.
  • A management team that likes the new office layout assumes the staff do, and the survey says otherwise.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Decision-making & Reasoning
Essay
The catalogue of predictable errors

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