Empiriceme · Evidence · Empirical Regularity

Fresh-Start Effect

Also called Temporal landmarks

Dates that mark a boundary, such as a birthday or the start of a week, increase the rate at which people begin working toward goals.

Dai and colleagues found searches for diets, gym attendance and commitment-contract creation spiking after temporal landmarks. The proposed mechanism is that a landmark separates the imperfect past self from a present one with a clean record, which makes aspirational behaviour feel available. The effect is real and the durability of the behaviour it starts is another matter.

In practice

  • A change programme launched on the first of the month gets more participation than the same programme on the fourteenth.
  • A resolution made on a birthday outlasts one made on an ordinary Tuesday, briefly.
Subject
Decision-making & Reasoning
Essay
The catalogue of predictable errors

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