Empiriceme · Model · Theory / Model

Hirschman's Hiding Hand

Ignorance of difficulties can paradoxically enable ambitious projects to start.

Hirschman's 1967 finding from development projects: had the difficulties been known, nothing would have been started, and the difficulties were solved once people were committed. He warned it is not a policy.

In practice

  • A team that fully understood the integration would never have started, and having started, solved it.
  • A first-time renovator who had seen the survey properly would not have bought, and the house is now finished.
Subject
Decision-making & Reasoning
Essay
Why reasoning works the way it does

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