Empiriceme · Evidence · Empirical Regularity

Hydra Effect

Enforcement that removes leadership fragments an organisation into more numerous and less predictable successors.

Documented in counterterrorism and drug enforcement. Removing a cartel's leadership fragments it into smaller successors that are harder to negotiate with and often more violent than the organisation they replaced.

In practice

  • A police operation removes the leadership of an organised group and produces four smaller ones with no negotiating partner.
  • A ban on one supplier of a prohibited good produces six, each harder to identify and each with less to lose.
Standing
Related to the iron law of prohibition.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Law & Politics
Essay
What can be proved and measured about power

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