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Kingmaker Scenario

A participant who can no longer win retains the power to decide who does, and answers to nothing.

Common in coalition politics and multi-party negotiation. The kingmaker has no stake in the outcome's quality and every incentive to extract, which is why third-party leverage often exceeds third-party support.

In practice

  • A third-placed party with 4% of seats decides which of the other two governs and extracts terms neither would have offered.
  • A departmental vote where one abstaining director determines the outcome gives them leverage no argument on the merits would have won.
Standing
A recurring pathology in coalition politics and multi-party negotiation.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Play & Game Design
Essay
Small worlds with visible rules

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