Empiriceme · Precept · Normative Principle

Law of Safety Margin

Organisms and institutions maintain reserves to absorb shocks.

Reliability engineering, and the biological version is well documented: organs have reserve capacity far above normal demand. Institutions that run at full utilisation have converted a margin into a fragility.

In practice

  • A hospital that runs at 100% bed occupancy has no capacity for a bad week, and a bad week arrives annually.
  • A household with no savings treats a broken boiler as a crisis, and the boiler was always going to break.
Subject
Risk & Reliability
Essay
How much caution, and the jokes about its limits

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