Empiriceme · Evidence · Empirical Regularity

Law of Unintended Consequences (Merton)

Actions always have effects that are unanticipated or unintended.

Merton's 1936 paper. His categories still hold: ignorance, error, immediate interest overriding long-term, basic values, and self-defeating prediction. The last is the most interesting and the least discussed.

In practice

  • A subsidy for domestic manufacturing raises input costs for domestic manufacturers who buy the subsidised good.
  • A rule requiring three quotes for every purchase costs more in staff time than it saves on small items, and nobody intended that.
Subject
Design & Systems
Essay
The limits every design runs into

Search every entry·Every entry, A to Z