Empiriceme · Evidence · Bias / Effect

Mind Projection Fallacy

Also called Projecting the map onto the territory

Treating a property of one's own model as a property of the world, so that ignorance is read as randomness and unfamiliarity as complexity.

Jaynes introduced it in probability theory: probability describes a state of knowledge, and calling an event random asserts something about the speaker rather than the event. The general form covers a great deal of confused argument, since mysterious, obvious, simple and weird are all relations between a mind and a thing, and all get stated as though they were features of the thing.

In practice

  • A process described as unpredictable is being described by someone who cannot predict it.
  • A design called intuitive is intuitive to the person who built it, which is the one datum that does not count.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Science & Epistemology
Essay
The ways evidence misleads

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