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Rational Irrationality

Where being wrong carries no personal cost, holding comfortable false beliefs is individually rational and collectively harmful.

Caplan's 2001 extension. Rational ignorance is not knowing; rational irrationality is preferring not to know, because the belief is pleasant and being wrong costs the holder nothing personally.

In practice

  • A commentator whose forecasts are never checked holds the position that plays best with his audience, and would drop it tomorrow with his own money on it.
  • A voter whose preferred policy would cost them nothing personally if wrong can hold it comfortably, which is why bad economic beliefs are stable.
Standing
Extends rational ignorance from not knowing to preferring not to know.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Law & Politics
Essay
Competing accounts of how power works

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