Empiriceme · Evidence · Empirical Regularity

Rock's Law (Moore's Second Law)

Also called Moore's Second Law

The capital cost of a semiconductor fabrication plant roughly doubles every four years.

Arthur Rock's observation. It is why fabrication has consolidated to a handful of firms worldwide — the capital cost now exceeds what most national economies will underwrite.

In practice

  • A chip designer with a better architecture and no plant licenses it to one of the three firms that can still afford to build one.
  • A government offering to subsidise a domestic fabrication plant finds the figure has doubled between the feasibility study and the decision.
Subject
Economics & Incentives
Essay
The regularities money obeys

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