Empiriceme · Model · Theory / Model

Runaway Leader Problem

Positive feedback in a contest makes an early lead self-reinforcing, ending the contest long before it formally concludes.

Game design literature. The institutional version is cumulative advantage: an early lead in funding, attention or share compounds, so the contest is decided long before it formally ends.

In practice

  • A grant scheme that funds applicants with the strongest track record produces, within five rounds, a field in which only the funded have one.
  • A league where the richest club buys the best players and earns the most from winning has a contest that is decided structurally rather than annually.
Standing
The design-side statement of cumulative advantage.
Subject
Play & Game Design
Essay
Small worlds with visible rules

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