Empiriceme · Figure · Adage / Folk Law

Segal's Law

A man with one watch knows the time; a man with two is never sure.

From the Murphy's law canon. Its serious form is a real problem in instrumentation and forecasting: disagreeing sources cannot be averaged without knowing which is biased.

In practice

  • A ship carrying two compasses three degrees apart must choose which to steer by, and averaging them is a decision rather than a solution.
  • A company with two dashboards reporting different revenue figures has less usable information than one with a single imperfect figure.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Decision-making & Reasoning
Essay
Paradoxes that broke theories, and sayings that outlived them

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