Empiriceme · Figure · Adage / Folk Law

Shang You Zhengce, Xia You Duice

Also called Policies above, counter-measures below; the implementation gap

Central directives are met with local workarounds, so the gap between a policy and its implementation is expected rather than exceptional.

A standing complaint in Chinese governance, in circulation well before it was studied: a directive issued at the centre meets a counter-measure in the province, and reported compliance is produced without the underlying change. It states the mechanism Goodhart and Campbell describe, arrived at independently and transmitted as folk wisdom rather than as a finding.

In practice

  • A ministry caps overtime; departments reclassify the hours as training and the cap is met on paper.
  • A school told to cut class sizes creates a register class of forty that never meets, and teaches in the same rooms as before.
Possible explanations
The explanation is information asymmetry: the centre sets targets it cannot verify locally, and local officials are judged on reported compliance, so producing the report is cheaper than producing the outcome.
In its favour
It names a pattern documented across large administrative systems, and it connects directly to Goodhart's law and to campaign-style governance in China.
Against it
The origin and date of the idiom are not established, it is documented in current usage rather than traced to a source, and how far implementation gaps exceed those in other large states has not been measured.
Standing
The origin and date of the idiom are not established; it is documented in current usage rather than traced to a source.
Subject
Organizations & Bureaucracy
Essay
The folklore of office life

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