Empiriceme · Model · Theory / Model

Tipping Point

Small increments accumulate with little visible effect until the system flips rapidly to a new state.

Grodzins's tipping in neighbourhood racial composition, popularised by Gladwell in 2000. The mechanism is the threshold model, and the popularised version often skips the mechanism entirely.

In practice

  • Small increments accumulate with little visible effect until the system flips.
  • A neighbourhood's shops change one at a time for a decade and the character changes in a single year, which is when residents notice.
Subject
Networks & Collective Behavior
Essay
How connections shape what crowds do

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