Empiriceme · Figure · Adage / Folk Law

Twyman's Law

Any figure that looks interesting is probably wrong.

Twyman's law is the analyst's discipline. A striking number is far more often an error in collection, definition or joins than a genuine discovery, so surprise should trigger checking before publishing.

In practice

  • A dashboard showing signups up 400% overnight is a duplicated feed four times out of five.
  • An analyst who publishes a remarkable figure without checking the pipeline has usually published a bug.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Science & Epistemology
Essay
Paradoxes in the data, and sayings about knowing

Search every entry·Every entry, A to Z