Empiriceme · Precept · Heuristic / Razor

Cui Bono

When a cause is unclear, ask who benefits; motive narrows the field of explanation.

Cicero used it as a forensic principle. It narrows a field of explanation and proves nothing on its own; benefit is evidence of motive, not of agency.

In practice

  • A department reorganisation that leaves one director with three more teams is not proof of anything, and it is the first question to ask.
  • A sudden change in a supplier's recommended specification is worth checking against who supplies the newly recommended part.
Standing
A heuristic, not a proof; benefit is evidence of motive and not of agency.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Decision-making & Reasoning
Essay
Razors, rules and the tools of careful thought

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