Empiriceme · Figure · Paradox

Friendship Paradox

Most people's friends have more friends than they do, because popular people appear in more friend lists.

Feld's 1991 result, and it is a mathematical necessity rather than a psychological finding. Popular people appear in more friendship lists, so sampling by friendship oversamples them.

In practice

  • A conference organiser concludes attendance is disappointing because everyone she asks knows people who went to a bigger one.
  • A gym member feels unusually unfit because the people at the gym are the fit ones, and the unfit are at home.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Networks & Collective Behavior
Essay
How connections shape what crowds do

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