Empiriceme · Model · Theory / Model

Percolation Threshold

Connectivity across a network appears abruptly at a critical density of links rather than gradually.

Percolation explains why a rumour, a disease or a blackout spreads not at all below a density and everywhere above it. There is no gradual middle, which is why containment thresholds matter so much.

In practice

  • A firm's internal referral scheme produces nothing at 200 staff and floods the pipeline at 400, and no incentive changed.
  • A vaccination programme achieves nothing measurable at 55% coverage and eliminates transmission at 82%, with no gradual middle.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Networks & Collective Behavior
Essay
How connections shape what crowds do

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