Empiriceme · Precept · Heuristic / Razor

Reversal Test

If reversing a proposed change also seems bad, the objection is probably status quo bias rather than reasoning.

Bostrom and Ord's 2006 test. Applied to cognitive enhancement: if raising intelligence is bad and lowering it is also bad, the current level must be optimal, and that needs an argument nobody has.

In practice

  • A council that will neither raise nor lower the limit on a road it has never surveyed is asserting that the present figure is right by accident.
  • A team that opposes both lengthening and shortening the sprint has revealed that the objection is to changing it.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Decision-making & Reasoning
Essay
Razors, rules and the tools of careful thought

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