Empiriceme · Precept · Heuristic / Razor

Rule of 72

Divide 72 by the growth rate to get the doubling time; compounding is fast enough to be counterintuitive without it.

Pacioli published it in 1494. At 6% growth, doubling takes twelve years; at 10%, seven. It is the reason compound interest and exponential spread both defeat intuition without arithmetic.

In practice

  • A saver told the fund returns 6% hears a number; told it doubles every twelve years, they open the statement.
  • A fee of 1.5% a year against 0.2% costs roughly a third of the final pot over forty years, which the arithmetic shows and intuition does not.
Further reading
Wikipedia
Subject
Decision-making & Reasoning
Essay
Razors, rules and the tools of careful thought

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